3 Caspian Gull (Larus cachinnans): vulnerability to climate change

3.1 Evidence for exposure

3.1.1 Potential changes in breeding habitat suitability:

  • Current breeding area that is likely to become less suitable (97% of current range)
  • Current breeding area that is likely to remain suitable (3%)
  • Current breeding area that is likely to become more suitable (0%)

3.1.2 Current impacts to Caspian Gulls attributed to climate change:

  • There are no impacts of climate change recorded for this species

3.1.3 Predicted changes in key prey species:

    No key prey assessment was carried out for this species.

3.2 Sensitivity

  • This species has a long generation length (>10 years), which may slow recovery from severe impacts and increases population extinction risk

3.3 Adaptive capacity

  • Caspian gulls have a varied diet and is likely to able to prey switch. Change, or loss, of prey species due to climate change is unlikely to have wide-spread impact.
  • Caspian gulls have recently expanded their range into several new areas of Europe and the species seems able to disperse and exploit suitable habitat effectively.